Six days before the consequential midterm races and no one knows what will happen. Except us. We make our predictions on Senate races in Texas, Michigan, Maine, and Alaska, and compare our picks to the Polymarket odds.

Texas gets a deep look at James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton, including Talarico’s play for independent voters that could finally turn Texas blue, in spite of Republican campaign ads urging voters to stick to their team instead of thinking for themselves. Senate races in Maine (Susan Collins vs. Troy Jackson) and Michigan (Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers) each get their own prediction round with real betting-market numbers attached, before the crew circles back to Alaska's Peltola-Sullivan race to close the predictions segment. 

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