Political prediction markets are exploding in popularity, and in this episode, Chad and Cara sit down with Chris Gerlacher of Prediction News to explore what that means for voters, campaigns, and the broader election system. Chris explains how platforms like Kalshi and emerging crypto-based exchanges are giving the public unprecedented access to real-time political odds—and why these markets sometimes spot shifts in races long before traditional polls. From Katie Porter’s sudden drop to Eric Swalwell’s surge, the markets tell a story all their own.

The episode also takes a turn toward structural election reform as Shawn Griffiths’ weekly roundup highlights major efforts underway in Oregon, Nevada, and Oklahoma. These states are pushing forward with new ballot initiatives aimed at ending taxpayer-funded closed primaries and expanding rights for independent voters. Chad and Cara break down what these campaigns are trying to change, and why signature gathering remains one of the most grueling but essential pieces of real democratic participation.

To close, Cara digs into a recent Politico gerrymandering poll that left out independent voters entirely—an omission that dramatically skews the narrative about how Americans actually feel about partisan map-drawing. She shares why better polling matters and reflects on her experience finding genuine common ground with people from across the political spectrum, from Democrats to MAGA Republicans. Even in a hyper-polarized era, the episode reminds us that most voters want fairness, transparency, and a system that works.

Listen to the full episode of the Independent Voter Podcast and explore more stories at https://olasmedia.com or IVN.us.